What an hour of the day is worth
Hours repeated
10.7%
of markets, against 1.6% by chance
Chaos-quoted
+1.74%
median out of sample, 70% profitable
Divine-quoted
0.00%
median out of sample, 46% profitable
Roughly a hundred chaos-quoted markets carry this and pay about 1.7% on a median day, seventy percent of the time. Divine-quoted markets have profiles just as stable and no amplitude worth taking: zero out of sample, profitable less often than a coin. The top of the list reaches twenty percent, which is where the work is.
245 markets deep enough to profile
| Market | Buy → sell | Out of sample | Whole window | Hours held | Cause | Div / hour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23h→10hUTC | 44.6% | 35.9% | moved | chaos clock | 63 | |
| 7h→23hUTC | 25.3% | 25.9% | held | chaos clock | 132.3 | |
| 6h→1hUTC | 22.4% | 14.5% | held | its own | 79.7 | |
| 23h→7hUTC | 21.5% | 19.3% | held | chaos clock | 112.9 | |
| 10h→0hUTC | 20.8% | 19.1% | moved | chaos clock | 2.1k | |
| 11h→0hUTC | 15.4% | 16.2% | moved | chaos clock | 186 | |
| 6h→21hUTC | 14.7% | 15.5% | held | its own | 287.8 | |
| 9h→3hUTC | 14.1% | 23.2% | moved | chaos clock | 308.5 | |
| 2h→1hUTC | 12.8% | 6.7% | moved | chaos clock | 81.7 | |
| 13h→1hUTC | 12.6% | 13.0% | moved | chaos clock | 135.2 | |
| 17h→9hUTC | 12.5% | 10.6% | held | chaos clock | 482 | |
| 10h→0hUTC | 12.4% | 12.6% | moved | chaos clock | 148.5 | |
| 11h→4hUTC | 12.3% | 20.4% | moved | chaos clock | 399.3 | |
| 13h→23hUTC | 12.0% | 21.1% | moved | its own | 50.1 | |
| 14h→22hUTC | 11.1% | 14.9% | moved | chaos clock | 300.8 |