What an hour of the day is worth
Hours repeated
10.7%
of markets, against 1.6% by chance
Chaos-quoted
+1.74%
median out of sample, 70% profitable
Divine-quoted
0.00%
median out of sample, 46% profitable
Roughly a hundred chaos-quoted markets carry this and pay about 1.7% on a median day, seventy percent of the time. Divine-quoted markets have profiles just as stable and no amplitude worth taking: zero out of sample, profitable less often than a coin. The top of the list reaches twenty percent, which is where the work is.
301 markets deep enough to profile
| Market | Buy → sell | Out of sample | Whole window | Hours held | Cause | Div / hour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0h→12hUTC | 49.6% | 35.5% | moved | chaos clock | 108 | |
| 9h→1hUTC | 25.4% | 17.0% | moved | its own | 53.5 | |
| 10h→0hUTC | 21.6% | 17.7% | held | chaos clock | 342.1 | |
| 10h→1hUTC | 19.0% | 15.1% | moved | chaos clock | 100.6 | |
| 13h→22hUTC | 18.3% | 15.5% | moved | chaos clock | 53 | |
| 13h→21hUTC | 18.3% | 17.3% | moved | its own | 63.7 | |
| 8h→22hUTC | 17.8% | 26.8% | moved | chaos clock | 79.6 | |
| 8h→23hUTC | 17.3% | 21.2% | moved | chaos clock | 222.3 | |
| 8h→1hUTC | 17.2% | 28.8% | moved | chaos clock | 619.9 | |
| 6h→1hUTC | 17.0% | 13.0% | moved | its own | 101.6 | |
| 0h→7hUTC | 16.9% | 17.8% | moved | chaos clock | 225.1 | |
| 10h→0hUTC | 16.7% | 22.3% | moved | chaos clock | 3.3k | |
| 14h→0hUTC | 15.2% | 15.6% | moved | chaos clock | 385.2 | |
| 11h→1hUTC | 14.8% | 29.9% | moved | chaos clock | 489.2 | |
| 8h→23hUTC | 14.7% | 7.9% | moved | chaos clock | 134.5 |